For Immediate Release: Monday, October 17, 2016


Trades Between Voters Across State Lines Can Prevent Trump Victories in Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania

WASHINGTON, DC - Today, Republicans for Clinton in 2016 (R4C16) launched Trump Traders, the biggest voter exchange project in the history of US elections, at TrumpTraders.org.

The Trump Traders project connects 3rd party supporters in swing states with Clinton supporters in states where the electoral outcome is certain, uniting millions of Americans across party lines who agree that Donald Trump must be defeated. Vote trades will shift votes for Gary Johnson and Jill Stein into safe states, and votes for Hillary Clinton into battleground states like Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania

Using Trump Traders, supporters of third party candidates in states of particular importance in 2016 -- Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania -- will connect with two Clinton voters who will each agree to vote for the third party candidate in a safe state. Everyone wins: third party supporters double the number of votes cast for their candidate, and Clinton supporters pick up votes in states that could determine the outcome of the election.

“This is simply American voters using modern technology effectively,” said R4C16 co-founder John Stubbs. “It’s 2016. It’s not 2000, when less than 600 votes for Ralph Nader in Florida elected George W. Bush president. And it’s not 1787, when Americans talked to each other through mail delivered on horseback. We can instantly connect today concerned citizens -- Republicans, Democrats and Independents -- unified in their opposition to Donald Trump to vote strategically to beat him.”

“Trump Traders helps disaffected third party voters who dislike the two-party system that produced Trump and Clinton make a statement by doubling the votes for third party candidates nationally,” said R4C16 co-founder Ricardo Reyes. “Clinton supporters stuck on the sidelines in safely blue or red states can now get involved in battlegrounds of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.”

Stubbs and Reyes first introduced the concept of Trump Trading in an opinion piece they printed in The New York Times on September 16. They wrote: “By voting tactically in 2016, conscientious Republicans can still prevent the worst-case scenario: Mr. Trump taking over the White House, and the G.O.P.”

The Trump Traders project goal is to help tens of thousands of voters more effectively express their preference for president -- and make certain a defeat for Mr. Trump in November.

Republicans for Clinton in 2016 (R4C16) is a grassroots movement, independent of any official campaign, of concerned Republicans who are committed to vote for Hillary Clinton for President to defeat Donald Trump. Learn more at R4C16.org.



Is this legal?

Yes. Voters are expressing their preference for president, and persuading through logic and considered arguments that other voters should take certain actions. It’s also been ruled legal and protected by the First Amendment. The National Voting Rights Institute and the American Civil Liberties Union of Southern California brought a case on behalf of exchanges created for the 2000 election. The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled in Porter v. Bowen that voter exchanges were constitutionally protected speech and conduct.

How do you determine safe states and swing states?

As previous US presidential elections have proven, votes in states including Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are many times more likely to determine the winner than votes in states that are less competitive. Here’s how we determine what is a swing state and a safe state. We ask two questions:

·       How likely is a given voter to decide the winner of their state?

·       How likely is a given state to decide the election?

Multiply those together and we can determine the chance that a given voter decides the election. For any given voter the chance of deciding the election is thousands of times higher in some states than others – which is why candidates spend extraordinary amounts of money to win a thousand votes in Florida, and nothing to win a thousand votes in New Jersey.

There are a number of resources online that examine the relative value of votes from state to state, including the Princeton Election Consortium.

How many votes do you need to swap in order to ensure Trump loses?

In 2000, if 538 people who voted for Ralph Nader in Florida had instead voted for Al Gore, Americans across the country would have had a different president.

This year, the size of Republicans opposed to the party’s nominee is significant and without recent precedent, especially in swing states. In 2012, 94% of Republicans in Ohio voted for Mitt Romney (5% voted for Barack Obama with 1% for a third party). Current polling shows nearly 20% of Republicans in Ohio won't support Trump. If a majority of those Ohioans were supporting Hillary Clinton, she'd almost certainly win Ohio and its 18 electoral votes. But Clinton is winning barely a third of those Republicans, which are split evenly between supporting her, supporting Gary Johnson, and undecided. If the election were held today, Trump would win Ohio according to current polls.

Trump Traders provides a solution for the nearly 1 in 5 Republicans in Ohio who will never vote for Donald Trump, and for millions of Republican voters in other swing states who are considering a third party candidate. Trading votes will allow any third party candidate that voters are considering to still receive votes, but not in the states that could shift the balance in the electoral college and toss the election to Donald Trump.